Champions League scenarios: Here’s who can advance to knockout stage and what they need to do on Matchday 5

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With half of the fifth round in the books, nine teams have booked their place in the last 16 of the Champions League as places in the last 16 dwindle. Some of them are familiar faces, but others are a bit unexpected. Bayern Munich, Real Madrid, Club Brugge, NaplesChelsea, Borussia Dortmund, PSG, Benficaand Manchester City have booked their places, but what do the other teams have to do to join them in match 5?

First, let’s look at the tiebreakers if the team finishes tied for points. Things are a little different than the general league. The first tie-breaker is points in head-to-head matches between tied teams. If the tied teams are still level on their head-to-head points, it goes to head-to-head goal difference for the teams. Ultimately, the advantage would go to the team that scored the most goals. An example is what we saw Barcelona and Inter Milan. Inter beat Barca 1-0 at home and then drew 3-3 away, giving the Italian club four points from the head-to-head, while Barca got just one draw. This means that if they finish level on points, Inter go through.

If multiple teams are tied after going through all previous tie-breakers, then goal difference in all group games comes into play. Then there are goals scored in all group stage games, away goals in all group games, wins in all group games and then away wins in all group games. If that still doesn’t work, we arrive at the disciplinary points for each team and the UEFA club coefficient.

So let’s see who can get out of each group

Group A

  • Napoli (12 points): Qualified for knockouts. Can win the group by winning against Rangers i.a Liverpool defeat or draw against Ajax. Napoli will also win the group with a draw and defeat against Liverpool.
  • Liverpool (nine points): Can qualify with a win or a draw against Ajax.
  • Ajax (three points): They cannot qualify directly after the next game against Liverpool. They can at least qualify for the Europa League with a win or a draw against Liverpool.
  • Rangers (zero points): The placement in the knockout phase of the Champions League has expired. They cannot qualify for the Europa League Round 5.
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Group B

  • Club Brigge (10 points): Qualified for knockouts. Can win the group with a win or a draw Porto.
  • Porto (six points): can qualify for the knockouts with a win against Club Brugge and an Atletico Madrid defeat or draw against Leverkusen. He can win at least a place in the Europa League with a draw ia Bayer Leverkusen loss.
  • Atletico Madrid (four points): They cannot qualify for 5th round knockouts. They can at least qualify for the Europa League by beating Bayer Leverkusen.
  • Bayer Leverkusen (four points): They cannot qualify for elimination or Europa League Round 5.

Group C

  • Bayern Munich (12 points): Qualified for knockouts. They can win the group with a win over Barcelona or a loss against Inter or a draw Viktoria Pilsen.
  • Inter Milan (seven points): Can qualify for the knockouts with a win over Pilsen due to a tiebreaker over Barca. Can also qualify with a draw if Barcelona draw or lose. Qualifications were also ensured by defeating Barcelona.
  • Barcelona (four points): They can at least qualify for the Europa League with a win, draw or loss against Viktoria Plzen. They cannot qualify for the 5th round knockout stage.
  • Viktoria Plzen (zero points): I’m out of the knockout race. They cannot qualify for the Europa League Round 5.
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Group D

  • Tottenham (seven points): Can qualify for the knockouts with a win Sporting CP. They can win the group with a win and a loss against Marseille. They can also qualify for at least the Europa League with a draw and one Eintracht Frankfurt loss to Marseille due to better match results.
  • Marseille (six points): Can qualify for the knockouts with a win over Frankfurt and a loss against Sporting CP due to their head-to-head record. They can at least qualify for the Europa League with a win over Frankfurt.
  • Sporting CP (six points): He can advance to the round of 16 with a win and a draw between Frankfurt and Marseille. They can at least qualify for the Europa League with a win over Spurs and a loss against Frankfurt.
  • Eintracht Frankfurt (four points): They cannot qualify for elimination or Europa League Round 5.

Group E

  • Chelsea (10 points): Group E winners due to superior head-to-head results AC Milan.
  • AC Milan (seven points): Can qualify for the 6th round knockout stage with a win or a draw against RB Salzburg. You have already qualified for the lowest place in the Europa League.
  • RB Salzburg (six points): Can qualify for the knockouts with a win over Milan. Will they win a place in the Europa League with a draw or a Dinamo Zagreb loss.
  • Dinamo Zagreb (four points): Eliminated from the fight for the knockout stage. They can at least qualify for the Europa League with a win over Chelsea and a loss against RB Salzburg.

Group F

  • Real Madrid (10 points): Qualified for knockouts. Can win the group with a win Celtic or loss by RB Leipzig.
  • RB Leipzig (nine points): Can qualify for the knockouts with a win or a draw against Shakhtar. He qualified for the lowest place in the Europa League.
  • Shakhtar Donetsk (six points): Can qualify for the knockouts with a win over RB Leipzig. Won at least a place in the Europa League.
  • Celtic (two points): Eliminated from the knockout or Europa League qualifiers.
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Group G

  • Manchester City (11 points): Group G winners due to head-to-head against Dortmund.
  • Borussia Dortmund (eight points): Second place in Group G due to head-to-head advantage Seville.
  • Sevilla (five points): Qualified for the Europa League due to advantage over Copenhagen.
  • Copenhagen (two points): Eliminated from the fight for the knockout stage and the Europa League.

Group H

  • PSG (eight points): Qualified for the knockout rounds. Can win the group by improving Benfica’s results. If both teams finish tied on points, they will go into the third tie-breaker for most goals scored in a Champions League game. PSG has currently scored 14 goals.
  • Benfica (eight points): Qualified for the knockout rounds. Can win the group with a better result than PSG. If both teams finish level on points, it will be the third tie-breaker for most goals scored in a Champions League game. Benfica has currently scored 10 goals.
  • Juventus (three points): They cannot qualify for the knockout stage. He can qualify for the Europa League by doing better Maccabi Haifa’s result. If both teams finish tied on points, they will go into the third tie-breaker for most goals scored in a Champions League game. Juventus scored eight goals.
  • Maccabi Haifa (three points): They cannot qualify for the knockout stage. He can qualify for the Europa League with a better result than Juventus. If both teams finish tied on points, they will go into the third tie-breaker for most goals scored in a Champions League game. Maccabi Haifa scored six goals.



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