- US midterms are being watched closely in Russia
- Some hope for a clean sweep of the Republicans, slow aid for Ukraine
- Others expect the election to deepen political divisions
LONDON, Nov 8 (Reuters) – Pro-Kremlin forces in Russia are hoping that Republicans will win control of Congress, a result they believe could mean Democratic President Joe Biden faces a tougher and longer slog to get a military aid package for Ukraine approved.
But for now, some in Moscow think the US bipartisan political consensus on Ukraine is cracking, whatever the outcome of Tuesday’s midterm elections. Nor do they expect Washington’s support for Kyiv to decline significantly anytime soon.
On the contrary, with a view to the next US presidential election in 2024 and the resilience of geopolitical enemies whose moment in the sun of history they believe will end, pro-Kremlin Russia hopes that the result will be disputed and that the American political system. will face fresh turmoil in the coming years.
Their attitude reflects President Vladimir Putin’s own belief that Russia’s February 24 invasion of Ukraine, something he called a “special military operation”, is part of a historical realignment away from the US-dominated world to a multipolar one where the country views like. Russia and China must be counted.
“The Republican victory in the US congressional elections will not lead to a revolution in US foreign policy and stop Washington’s support for Ukraine,” Alexei Pushkov, a hawkish Russian senator and foreign policy specialist, wrote on the Telegram messaging service.
“However, the Biden administration will be more difficult to push the financial aid program to Kyiv through the Congress, and the position of US criticism of the lack of aid to Ukraine is markedly strengthened.”
Pushkov, who had sanctions imposed on him by the European Union in March for voting to support Moscow’s Ukraine policy, said he thought there was a chance that Republicans could target what he called Biden’s “extravagant” Ukraine spending in the run-up to 2024. try to damage ratings Democrats’.
But a report compiled by the Moscow-based Institute of International Studies, which shared its research with the Russian Foreign Ministry and other state bodies, concluded that the mood it called the US stance and voters meant the election was unlikely to be carried. about major changes to Washington’s Ukraine policy.
Ukraine rarely emerged as a key voter concern, with those polled before the general election citing concerns about domestic issues such as inflation, crime and abortion.
Russian ultra-nationalist circles are increasingly convinced that the midterms – in which Republicans are predicted to win control of the House of Representatives and possibly the Senate – will be positive for their long-term interests.
Tsargrad, an online news portal and TV station funded by Russian ultra-nationalist tycoon Konstantin Malofeev, predicts the final election will throw off America.
“At a critical juncture in world history, this election can have a big impact on the geopolitical environment, and Ukraine in particular,” he wrote.
“But it could also be the detonator of a domestic centrifugal process that could end the United States as we know it today,” he said, citing the theoretical possibility of civil war due to political polarization and mistrust of election results.
If such a dramatic scenario unfolded, Washington, Tsargrad predicted, will not have the capacity to continue prosecuting its Ukrainian policy.
In a column for the state-run RIA news agency, columnist Pyotr Akopov also predicted that Russia will be the real winner of the US midterms as the vote will deepen political divisions ahead of the 2024 presidential election which he predicts will be disputed.
“Even if it survives as a single country, the United States will change dramatically and its global position will weaken under any circumstances,” Akopov said.
“The confrontation with China will require the mobilization of all the country’s global resources – and attention to Europe will certainly weaken,” he said. “Without strong and united (United States of America) the West will not be able to maintain control over western Russia for a long time.”
Editing by Rosalba O’Brien
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